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Table 2 Predicted number of yearly environmental contamination events occurring in an African Swine Fever endemic area (area = 50 km2)

From: Estimating the risk of environmental contamination by forest users in African Swine Fever endemic areas

Type of forest use

Wild boar density

 1.0/km2

3.0/km2

Supplemental feeding

No

Yes

No

Yes

Individual

0.78 (0.70–0.85)

1.15 (1.08–1.25)

1.44 (1.34–1.54)

2.19 (2.08–2.30)

Wild boar hunt (collective drive)

0.70 (0.64–0.74)

0.80 (0.75–0.85)

1.59 (1.52–1.67)

1.84 (1.78–1.92)

Wild boar hunt (single hunter with dogs)

0.62 (0.58–0.67)

0.76 (0.71–0.82)

1.55 (1.48–1.62)

1.78 (1.71–1.85)

Forest logging

1.71 (1.60–1.81)

1.59 (1.50–1.68)

4.66 (4.59–4.88)

4.41 (4.26–4.54)

Feeding site visit

–

6.31 (6.17–6.45)

–

8.11 (7.97–8.25)

Total

3.81 (3.52–4.07)

10.61 (10.21–11.05)

9.24 (8.93–9.71)

18.33 (17.80–18.86)

  1. The expected number of contamination events was derived from a spatially-explicit simulation model, and is provided for different types of forest use, at different wild boar densities and with/without wild boar artificial feeding. Numbers in parentheses indicate the 95% confidence intervals around the mean estimates
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Acta Veterinaria Scandinavica

ISSN: 1751-0147